Even though the last post I wrote about polling basically said that we should ignore the national polls and really only pay attention to the state polls, I just found an interesting tidbit that I would like to share with the class.
The 5/16 Fox News poll of 913 registered voters showed President Obama leading Mitt Romney 46 to 39, a 7 point lead. This poll also showed an approval rating of +2 for the President. The poll was conducted between 5/13 and 5/15 on landlines and cell phone, and had a margin of error of 3 points.
If Fox News shows the President leading by 7 points, what’s Rasmussen’s excuse?
I’m going to go dig deeper into this poll now and I’ll update if I find anything interesting.
Update: One last interesting thing, the pollsters asked “what is the one thing Barack Obama has done as president that did the most damageto the economy?”
12% of respondents said it was the health care law. I think this indicates that a pretty big chunk of registered voters don’t entirely understand the health care law. Most of its provisions haven’t even taken effect yet, and the ones that have shouldn’t have a negative impact on the economy.
The only major provision that has taken effect allows young people to stay on their parents’ insurance until they’re 26. If anything, this is good for the economy because it allows young people to spend a higher proportion of their income on consumption, thereby increasing demand. Your thoughts?